|By Phil Franz-Warkentin, Commodity News Service Canada|
|Nov. 23, 2012|
|Winnipeg – ICE Futures Canada canola contracts were lower at Friday’s close, as bearish technical signals and the strong Canadian dollar weighed on values.
The losses in canola came despite the firmer tone in the CBOT soy complex, as solid export demand and production uncertainty in South America helped underpin the US futures.
A lack of significant farmer selling and the pricing of old export business to Japan was also supportive for canola, according to traders.
However, canola lagged soybeans to the upside for most of the day and the Canadian futures turned lower heading into the close.
The Canadian dollar was up by about half a cent relative to its US counterpart on Friday, which cuts into crush margins and makes exports less attractive. Ideas that canola is overpriced compared to other oilseeds also put downward pressure on values, said traders.
Canola also ran into upside resistance from a technical perspective. The January contract made an attempt to break above upside resistance at C$580 per tonne. However, when values failed to hold above that level the resulting speculative selling built on itself, said participants.
About 13,692 canola contracts were traded on Friday, which compares with Thursday when 5,612 contracts changed hands. Spreading was a feature, accounting for about 9,926 of the contracts traded. Milling wheat and barley futures were untraded and unchanged. Durum was steady to lower in thin commercial activity.
Settlement prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton.Price Change
Canola Jan 575.90 dn 2.50
Mar 574.00 dn 2.20
May 573.50 dn 1.70
Milling Wheat Dec 297.30 unch
Mar 305.30 unch
Durum Dec 312.00 unch
Mar 316.00 dn 1.00
Barley Dec 250.00 unch
Mar 253.00 unch
Futures Prices as of April 17, 2014
Prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton