ICE Canada Review: Canola Firm As Soybean Supplies Tighten

By Phil Franz-Warkentin, Commodity News Service Canada
August 10, 2012
Winnipeg – ICE Futures Canada canola contracts  closed higher on Friday, as updated USDA supply/demand data was seen  as bullish for the oilseed markets in general.
In a report released Friday morning the USDA pegged the US  soybean crop at about 2.7 billion bushels, which was below trade  guesses and well off the previous forecast of 3.05 billion bushels.  US and world ending stocks projections were also revised lower, and  the tightening world oilseed situation was behind much of the strength  in canola, according to participants who said investors were working  to ration demand for those tightening stocks.
While looming harvest pressure and expectations for a large  Canadian crop did slow the advances in canola, concerns over the size  of the canola crop were also starting to gain some traction. The  combination of excessive moisture in some parts of western Canada,  dryness in others, disease and insects are likely cutting into the  overall yield prospects for canola, said an analyst.
About 15,292 canola contracts were traded on Friday, which  compares with Thursday when 11,445 contracts changed hands.
Milling wheat futures were untraded, but revised slightly lower  after the close. Durum and barley futures were untraded and unchanged.
Settlement prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton.Price      Change

Canola            Nov     617.10    up 8.00

Jan     621.50    up 8.70

Mar     622.10    up 7.80

Milling Wheat     Oct     303.40    dn 0.40

Dec     309.00    dn 0.40

Durum             Oct     309.00    unch

Dec     313.50    unch

Barley            Oct     264.50    unch

Dec     269.50    unch

Commodity futures

Futures Prices as of May 17, 2013

Canola Price Change
November617.108.00
January621.508.70
March622.107.80
Milling Wheat Price Change
October303.400.40
December309.000.40
Durum Price Change
October309.00
December313.50
New Barley Price Change
October264.50
December269.50

Prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton

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