ICE Canola Mixed Ahead Of StatsCan Report

By Phil Franz-Warkentin, Commodity News Service Canada
Oct. 3, 2012
Winnipeg – Canola contracts on the ICE Futures  Canada platform were narrowly mixed at 10:59 CDT Wednesday. Spillover  weakness from the declines in the CBOT soy complex was being countered  by speculative short-covering and concerns over tightening supplies.
The advancing US harvest and improving yield prospects for the  soybean crop accounted for much of the selling in soybeans that  spilled into canola, according to participants. Steady farmer  deliveries were another bearish factor overhanging the canola market.
However, canola was lagging the soy complex to the downside, and  posted small gains in some months as speculative short-covering was  coming forward to provide support, according to a broker.
Positioning ahead of Thursday’s Statistics Canada production  report also helped lend some independent strength to the canola  market. The report is widely expected to show a smaller canola crop  than previously forecast in August, but the extent of the cut remains  to be seen. Trade estimates range from 14.0 million to 15.0 million  tonnes, which would compare with the August forecast of 15.4 million  tonnes and the year ago level of 14.2 million.
At 10:59 CDT, about 13,600 canola contracts had changed hands.  Intermonth spreading was a feature, as traders continue to roll out  of the nearby November contract.
Milling wheat, durum, and barley futures were all untraded and  unchanged.
Prices in Canadian dollars per metric ton at 10:59 CDT:Price      Change

Canola            Nov     583.00    up  0.40

Jan     584.40    dn  1.10

Mar     580.90    dn  4.00

Milling Wheat     Oct     293.60      unch

Dec     298.80      unch

Durum             Oct     309.30      unch

Dec     313.80      unch

Barley            Oct     245.00      unch

Dec     250.00      unch

 

Commodity futures

Futures Prices as of May 24, 2013

Canola Price Change
November583.000.40
January584.401.10
March580.904.00
Milling Wheat Price Change
October293.60
December298.80
Durum Price Change
October309.30
December313.80
New Barley Price Change
October245.00
December250.00

Prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton

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