Glacier FarmMedia COVID-19 & the Farm

U.S. grains: Soybeans lift on South American weather concerns

Market weighs close U.S. vote, pending WASDE report

cbot january soybeans
CBOT January 2021 soybeans with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago soybean futures gained on Wednesday, touching a one-week high as recent rains in South America do little to aid drought-stricken crops, making U.S. beans more attractive on the world market, traders said.

Wheat fell slightly as U.S. and global supply outlooks remain strong, while corn was choppy, paring early declines and turning higher at times as soybeans climbed.

At the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), January soybeans closed up 22 cents at $10.86-1/4 a bushel while December corn rose 4-1/4 cents, to $4.05-1/4 a bushel, and December wheat slipped two cents, to $6.06 (all figures US$).

Parts of Brazil’s soy areas have received rains this week, but other areas need moisture, and a La Nina weather pattern remains a risk for South American crops.

“We’re stronger in soy, oil and meal, and that can be somewhat attributed to weather in South America. They’re still in need of rain down there,” said Joe Davis, director of commodity sales at Futures International.

Traders also have begun looking ahead to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s supply/demand reports on Tuesday, which some analysts expect to show scaled-back U.S. soybean yields and increased export forecasts.

“If you take one bushel away from the yield and add 50 million bushels of demand,” said Karl Setzer, commodity risk analyst at AgriVisor. “That’s what’s giving trade a little more enthusiasm.”

U.S. corn ending stocks, currently projected by USDA at more than 2.1 billion bushels, could also decline due to brisk demand, said Terry Roggensack, analyst with the Hightower Report.

“I think people are looking at something closer to a 1.6 (billion-bushel) carry-out,” Roggensack said.

Traders said the pending results of the U.S. presidential election, which may not be clear for some time, had little impact on grain markets on Wednesday.

“Ag traders are focused known fundamentals versus unknown election issues,” StoneX chief commodities economist Arlan Suderman wrote in a client note.

— Reporting for Reuters by Christopher Walljasper; additional reporting by Gus Trompiz in Paris and Naveen Thukral in Singapore; includes files from Glacier FarmMedia Network staff.

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