U.S. livestock: CME lean hogs limit up on technical buying, export hopes

cme june lean hogs
CME June 2019 lean hogs with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. lean hog futures rallied sharply on Wednesday with several contracts closing up the daily trading limit on technical buying and speculation that Chinese demand for U.S. pork is poised to grow.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) is due to release weekly export sales data early on Thursday and traders will be closely watching the report for confirmation of new shipments or sales to China.

Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) June lean hogs settled at 91.225 cents/lb. and July futures ended at 95.375 cents, both up the daily three-cent limit (all figures US$). August and October futures also closed limit-up.

The market’s daily limit will expand to 4.5 cents for Thursday’s session, the CME said.

Hog futures had plunged more than 10 per cent over the past two weeks as commodity funds, which had built up a massive long position in livestock futures, started shedding longs. As a result, lean hogs were poised for a technical rebound.

“The hogs got too cheap. They were oversold,” said Alan Brugler, president of Brugler Marketing and Management.

Hog futures also remained supported by expectations for accelerated Chinese purchases of U.S. pork after its domestic hog herd was hit hard by African swine fever.

Although China has not made large purchases in recent weeks, past sales confirmations in USDA’s weekly sales report have triggered steep futures rallies.

U.S. and Chinese officials held “productive” trade talks in Beijing on Wednesday and will continue discussions in Washington next week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said.

Many traders expect goodwill purchases of U.S. goods, including pork, to be part of any trade deal.

“We know China needs a lot of meat imports and a trade deal would allow it to be U.S. pork,” Brugler said.

Live cattle futures continued a recent slide as actively traded June futures dropped for an eighth straight session on fund liquidation and technical selling.

Weaker cash cattle markets added pressure.

Trading in southern Plains feedlot markets has yet to develop this week, but cattle on the weekly online Fed Cattle Exchange marketplace traded at $122.15/cwt on average, down from light sales at $127 last week.

CME June live cattle futures settled down 0.375 cent at 113.875 cents/lb., its lowest since Dec. 7. August cattle ended down 0.8 cent at 110.975 cents/lb.

August feeder cattle were up 0.075 cent at 149.225 cents and September was down 0.25 at 150.3 cents.

— Karl Plume reports on agriculture and ag commodities for Reuters from Chicago.

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